Community for Impact
How might interurban and regional mobility over distances of 100 to 500 km in Western Europe evolve by 2040, and what contrasting futures must stakeholders prepare for?
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Themes
Modes of transport
Build a shared vision
Define the four foresight scenarios
Develop an analytical framework
Movin'On members
Four contrasting, illustrated and quantified scenarios, covering the narrative, overall mobility volumes and changes in modal shares.
The future of mobility over distances of 100 to 500 km in Western Europe is marked by considerable uncertainty: technological transitions, geopolitical and energy disruptions, changing patterns of use and modal shares. In this segment, which lies between urban and long-distance mobility, public- and private-sector strategies often lack a shared vision of the disruptions that may occur.
Without shared foresight, product and service roadmaps remain vulnerable to shocks. The challenge is to establish a common foresight framework to explore possible futures and test the resilience of these strategies.
Develop an intersectoral and mode-agnostic view of the disruptions that could affect mobility over distances of 100 to 500 km in Western Europe by 2040.
Explore future mobility patterns and their potential impact on different modes of transport, as well as their capacity to recover and adapt.
Provide an analytical framework for testing product and service roadmaps.
Workshops to identify trends and weak signals and draft an initial set of scenarios.
Review of the scenarios with external stakeholders (Safran, Thales Avionics, ADEME, Iveco, ITF).
Alignment on four contrasting scenarios.
